Daily Bitcoin and Crypto Analysis

While traditional markets are digesting the Pfizer supply chain news (slowed and potentially affecting the time and quantities of the vaccine distribution), crypto shows some independence.

Traditional markets turned risk-on throughout yesterday, that’s typically supportive of higher prices in crypto. It’s also worth noting that with the dollar down and gold up (+2% on the session) Bitcoin should have been an obvious beneficiary.

Today, everybody in the crypto space is thinking: we’ve broken all-time highs.

Last week, traditional markets ended on a risk-on note. Equities and treasuries up, dollar and gold down. Crypto may have benefited from the tilt -or simply the dollar depreciation- over the weekend. I like to think bigger factors came in play, though.

Whether it’s because of Thanksgiving or just the inability to push through higher levels, traditional markets have been trading mostly muted. Comparatively, crypto markets seem to now be on investors' radar and experience much more activity. After a two-month-long rally and probably a lot of complacency, the bout of volatility yesterday shook many, triggering massive liquidations. Any opportunistic buyer would’ve been happy to pick up some coins.

While traditional markets traded muted most of yesterday, crypto markets are swinging wildly. Investors are torn between the euphoria of an incessant rally, the unbearably close 20K mark but, also, the risk of waiting too long before taking profit and the volatility that historically plagues Bitcoin rallies -and definitely altcoin rallies.

The party-poppers are on hold until the release of this evening’s FOMC minutes from the Fed’s November policy meeting. We all know the drill by now, another stimulus = another Bitcoin rally. But, is there a real risk that the Fed hints they have done enough? If the US dollar rallies hard post the release of the Fed’s thoughts, Bitcoin could have missed a great opportunity to register a new all-time high.

One of my favorite questions to the Bitcoin skeptics is: “Ok, but have we seen the all-time high in Bitcoin?”