It’s fascinating to see the exuberance continue amidst traditional markets. Basically, investors bought equities en masse ahead of a Fed meeting on their bond-buying program (which most people assume will be very accommodating). The S&P rose to record highs, and the Nasdaq gained over 1.5% also to reach record highs. While that’s happening, gold is losing again, falling below the $1,800 mark.
BTC, on the other hand, isn’t feeling too great. Alts aren’t either. On the session, bitcoin fell over 3.5%, currently back at $48,000. All things considered, this is still a very good place to be, after it spent weeks, nay, months in the 30K purgatory.
Alts lost ground, though. The worst performers are NANO, THETA, and LINK falling 9%. AAVE, MATIC, and LUNA aren’t doing better with 8% losses. Actually, look at any coin, and it’s probably doing worse than BTC.
Away from short-term considerations, a nice post from CryptoQuant highlights the kimchi premium, characterizing it of the true ‘fear and greed’ index. From their perspective, the fact that we don’t see a pick-up in Korean prices for BTC shows it’s still under-appreciated and has room to grow.
It’s also very nice to see the open interest grow again. Traders are venturing again into the derivatives space and are happy to take leverage bets. At the moment, this is healthy behavior and supportive of higher prices. Same with option’s open interest.
On the other hand, a Glassnode chart shows the funding rate pick-up, which is very tame. They characterize it as maybe a symptom of just a relief rally, something that will fade quickly instead of a strong leg up.
Away from on-chain data, it was great to hear of Riot’s earnings, especially with the acquisition of a Whinstone Texas facility. It is a reminder of the great transition of mining power from China and its crack-down to the US.
Lastly, it was interesting to hear about Kraken, seeking an EU license before the end of the year. Regulatory stuff rarely happens on time, but this timeline as a baseline is good and positive for the space.
The natural ebb-and-flow of price, has replaced the bullish moves seen through October and early November
It looks like crypto isn’t correlated to traditional markets, at least not during this past session.
Investors aren’t ready to give up on equities yet.
One of the big factors contributing to bitcoin’s expansion over gold is that millennials are becoming more knowledgeable of the investing world.
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